This is just another example of how sharps find value in a line or a bet. They prefer to bet earlier on games/outcomes to get better or more accurate lines before the public can influence them. Sharps typically will bet as soon as lines are released or just before the start of the game to create an advantage. Sharps pick their spots and know how when it’s appropriate to bet with the public and when it’s time to consider another possible outcome. If the public heavily bets on one specific team, that will only increase the NFL odds and the payouts for the others. However, sharps aren’t betting the opposite side to be contrarian, but rather to find value. Sharps will often bet the opposite side/team that the public likes, which is how they become so successful in this field.
#TRUE PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES PROFESSIONAL#
There are two types of bettors “the sharps” and the “public.” A sharp is a professional bettor who typically wins a majority of their bets. By betting against the public from time to time, players can see a win increase of anywhere between 1-5%, which can be significant to a bankroll. While it’s not always the right move to fade the public, be sure to check the NFL lines and the public consensus before placing your bet on any game. Expect that to be the case in primetime games or contests featuring big market teams, such as the Dallas Cowboys or Pittsburgh Steelers. The best sportsbooks in the US know this and often will inflate a spread or point total if they expect heavy action from the betting public. Remember, the average public bettor loves to bet on the favorite and for the “over” to hit on the point total. You can check out these weekly NFL expert picks as we look to point you in the correct direction. That’s why “sharps” look for opportunities to go against NFL public money.
Too often, public bettors, which includes everyone from new bettors to seasoned bettors, will bet on popular teams or exciting matchups, which presents value on the other side of a bet. While the public does get some bets right, more often than not, it’s best to fade the public. Should the NFL Consensus Affect Your Betting Decision? By using the NFL consensus presented on our page, you can decide whether you would like to bet with or against the public on a given bet. These numbers are usually expressed by percentage (%), showing the percentage of money and the percentage of bets wagered on one side versus another. The NFL betting consensus gives bettors an idea of how much action online bookies are taking on either side of a bet. These can also refer to NFL futures bets and player props. NFL Consensus betting means the percentage the betting public has chosen for an upcoming spread or point total.
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